Indian IT Sector Poised for Modest Growth Amid Challenges

– TCS and Infosys expect higher growth; Wipro and Tech Mahindra face declines. – Total of 17,188 new employees added by major firms in 2024. – TCS and Infosys reported growth of 4.6% and 3.9%, largely from the Americas. – Wipro projects a slight revenue decline while Tech Mahindra shows improved outlook. – Optimism for FY26 hinges on better market conditions and margins.

Key Highlights of Indian IT’s Fiscal Year Performance

– India’s top IT companies, buoyed by business from the Americas and Asia, are expected to perform better this fiscal year compared to the last.
– TCS and Infosys forecast greater growth; HCL Technologies anticipated a flat performance, while Wipro and Tech Mahindra expect another year of revenue decline.
– Cumulatively, TCS, Infosys, Wipro, and Tech Mahindra added over 17,000 employees in 2024, reversing the previous year’s layoffs.
– The growth trajectories of TCS (4.6%) and Infosys (3.9%) illustrate recovery, primarily driven by increased business from growth markets and the Americas.
– Wipro’s outlook suggests modest recovery, projecting a slight decline in revenue; new leadership is hopeful for an uptick in 2025.

Improving Market Conditions
India’s largest IT firms are positioned for a more favorable fiscal year, drawing benefits from increased demand in the Americas and Asia. The two leading companies, Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) and Infosys, have set optimistic growth projections for the fiscal year ending March 2025. HCL Technologies anticipates steady performance while both Wipro and Tech Mahindra expect continued revenue declines, albeit less severe than before.

Hiring Trends Reflect Optimism
The increased hiring observed among TCS, Infosys, Wipro, and Tech Mahindra shows a resurgent sentiment within the sector. Between April and December 2024, these companies collectively onboarded 17,188 new employees, marking a significant turnaround from the previous year’s layoffs totaling 57,735. HCL Technologies was the only one in the top five to reduce its workforce during this period.

Revenue Progress and Market Insights
Despite sluggish growth in 2024, TCS and Infosys reported year-on-year increases of 4.6% and 3.9%, respectively. Both companies experienced growth primarily from markets outside of traditional regions, with TCS significantly benefitting from a 30% increase in its domestic operations. Infosys’s major revenue source, the Americas, accounted for 58% of its total revenue, showing a favorable growth trajectory.

Guidance for Future Performance
Infosys has raised its revenue growth forecast for the fiscal year to a potential 5% increase, contrasting with last year’s stagnant growth. However, HCL expects revenue growth to mirror performance from the prior year. Conversely, Wipro and Tech Mahindra face challenges and are projected to see decreased revenues again this fiscal year.

Leadership Changes and Strategic Optimism
Leadership transitions at Wipro and Tech Mahindra have driven hopes for revitalizing their operations amidst ongoing challenges. Wipro recorded a 4.2% revenue drop, indicating another year of decline, but new CEO Srinivas Pallia remains optimistic about the improving economic climate. Tech Mahindra’s forecast further reflects a minor decline but shows resilience compared to prior financial periods.

Conclusion and Future Outlook
The Indian IT sector appears poised for a cautious rebound, but uncertainties persist regarding the extent of recovery for FY26. Analysts remain hopeful about positive trends, particularly in the Americas, which is crucial for growth. The sector aims to leverage improved market conditions and enhanced operating margins, setting the stage for potential recovery in the coming years.

In summary, India’s top IT companies are projected to see marginal improvements in fiscal performance this year, primarily driven by growth in the Americas and strategic hiring. TCS and Infosys lead the way with optimistic forecasts, while HCL Technologies holds steady. Conversely, Wipro and Tech Mahindra face challenges, expecting further revenue declines, though with new leadership at the helm, there is cautious optimism for future recovery.

Original Source: www.livemint.com